The art and science of prediction pdf

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the art and science of prediction pdf

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Note that while every book here is provided for free, consider purchasing the hard copy if you find any particularly helpful. In many cases you will find Amazon links to the printed version, but bear in mind that these are affiliate links, and purchasing through them will help support not only the authors of these books, but also LearnDataSci. Thank you for reading, and thank you in advance for helping support this website. Comprehensive, up-to-date introduction to the theory and practice of artificial intelligence. Number one in its field, this textbook is ideal for one or two-semester, undergraduate or graduate-level courses in Artificial Intelligence. Learning and Intelligent Optimization LION is the combination of learning from data and optimization applied to solve complex and dynamic problems.
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Published 16.01.2019

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Introduction

From one of the world's most highly regarded social scientists, a transformative book on the habits of mind that lead to the best predictions. Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week's meals. Unfortunately people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark study, even experts' predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught?

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